Ladislav Jakl, \u0159editel Centra spole\u010densk\u00fdch studi\u00ed Institutu V\u00e1clava Klause, zhodnotil jedn\u00e1n\u00ed USA a Ruska v Rij\u00e1du. \u201eP\u0159i vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed jde o mnohem v\u00edc ne\u017e o Donbas. Jde o vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 vymezen\u00ed vliv\u016f a z\u00e1jm\u016f po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b,\u201d uvedl v rozhovoru pro ne\u010cT24.
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V\u010dera u jednac\u00edho stolu v KSA byli z\u00e1stupci t\u0159\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch dodavatel\u016f ropy. Jak hodnot\u00edte m\u00edsto jedn\u00e1n\u00ed a slo\u017een\u00ed stran?<\/b><\/p>\n
Nemysl\u00edm, \u017ee parametr produkce ropy byl t\u00edm ur\u010duj\u00edc\u00edm pro slo\u017een\u00ed \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, ale tento post\u0159eh je hezk\u00fdm ukazatelem, \u017ee p\u0159i vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed jde o mnohem v\u00edc ne\u017e o Donbas. Jde o vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 vymezen\u00ed vliv\u016f a z\u00e1jm\u016f po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b. Rus\u016fm nesta\u010d\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9 kilometry \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00ed, cht\u011bj\u00ed prosadit v\u00e1hu sv\u00e9ho hlasu p\u0159i \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed v\u0161ech mo\u017en\u00fdch neuralgick\u00fdch bod\u016f na v\u0161ech kontinentech a ve v\u0161ech oblastech z\u00e1jmu. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 jim k tomu mohou pomoci. Ale zadarmo to d\u011blat nebudou. A kdy\u017e jeden chce a druh\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee poskytnout, m\u00e1 siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed slovo p\u0159i jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o cen\u011b ten nab\u00edzej\u00edc\u00ed ne\u017e ten po\u017eaduj\u00edc\u00ed. Jen to nesm\u00ed s cenou p\u0159ehnat, aby se transakce v\u016fbec uskute\u010dnila.<\/p>\n
Byla pro V\u00e1s p\u0159ekvapen\u00edm absence z\u00e1stupc\u016f evropsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, nebo jde o z\u00e1konit\u00fd v\u00fdsledek slab\u00e9 diplomacie v\u011bt\u0161iny evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed?<\/b><\/p>\n
Mo\u017en\u00e1 v t\u00e9to absenci vid\u00ed n\u011bkdo n\u011bjakou schv\u00e1lnost \u010di politick\u00fd pol\u00ed\u010dek. Je to ale, mysl\u00edm, jednodu\u0161\u0161\u00ed. St\u00e1ty EU plus Brit\u00e1nie toho nyn\u00ed moc nemaj\u00ed, co nab\u00eddnout, a ani nemaj\u00ed kapacitu z\u00e1jmy velk\u00fdch kluk\u016f citeln\u011b ohrozit. Kl\u00e1bosit s nimi v t\u00e9to f\u00e1zi by tak bylo neproduktivn\u00ed a neefektivn\u00ed.<\/p>\n
Fox News uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee Moskva a Washington stanovily proveden\u00ed voleb na Ukrajin\u011b jako jednu z kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch podm\u00ednek \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9ho procesu \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed konfliktu. P\u0159itom Zelenskyj prohla\u0161uje, \u017ee na Ukrajin\u011b volby nikdo nechce. M\u016f\u017ee se Zelenskyj st\u00e1t p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekou v m\u00edrov\u00e9 regulaci na Ukrajin\u011b?<\/b><\/p>\n
Podle mne jde jen o vstupn\u00ed vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed pozici, takov\u00e9 bubu. Ano, legitimitu Zelensk\u00e9ho lze do jist\u00e9 m\u00edry opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u011b zpochyb\u0148ovat, ale jeho p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e1 v\u00fdm\u011bna ur\u010dit\u011b nen\u00ed moment, do kter\u00e9ho by Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 \u010di Rusov\u00e9 cht\u011bli investovat n\u011bjak moc \u00fasil\u00ed. Pokud bude schopen Zelenskyj zajistit pln\u011bn\u00ed chystan\u00fdch dohod ukrajinskou stranou, jeho (ne)legitimita nebude nikoho z architekt\u016f \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed zaj\u00edmat. A pokud nebude m\u00edt s\u00edlu doma prosadit p\u0159ijet\u00ed v\u00fdsledk\u016f dohod, p\u0159estane b\u00fdt u\u017eite\u010dn\u00fd bez ohledu na to, zda je \u010di nen\u00ed jeho prezidentov\u00e1n\u00ed legitimn\u00ed.<\/p>\n
Podle slov ministra zahrani\u010dn\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed Marca Rubia by Evropsk\u00e1 unie m\u011bla v ur\u010dit\u00e9m okam\u017eiku usednout k jednac\u00edmu stolu, proto\u017ee zavedla sankce proti Rusku. Znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee role EU v jednac\u00edm procesu bude omezena na zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed?<\/b><\/p>\n
To asi ne. EU je p\u0159ece tak\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm sou\u010dasn\u00fdm sponzorem ukrajinsk\u00e9 strany. N\u011bjak\u00e9 karty tedy tak\u00e9 m\u00e1. M\u016f\u017ee rozhodnout o nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed dosavadn\u00ed pomoci (co\u017e n\u00e1s ob\u010dany \u010dlensk\u00fdch zem\u00ed ov\u0161em bude bolet) nebo o jej\u00edm utlumen\u00ed. V n\u011bjak\u00e9 f\u00e1zi bude EU na tyhle v\u011bci jist\u011b t\u00e1z\u00e1na.<\/p>\n
Macron v Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei svolal ji\u017e druh\u00fd neofici\u00e1ln\u00ed summit l\u00eddr\u016f EU. Ti v\u0161ak nebyli schopni naformulovat sv\u016fj pl\u00e1n pro Ukrajinu. Jak\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed kroky o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1te od Evropsk\u00e9 unie v tomto sm\u011bru? Schv\u00e1l\u00ed EU Trump\u016fv pl\u00e1n, nebo se pokus\u00ed nad\u00e1le samostatn\u011b podporovat Kyjev?<\/b><\/p>\n
Tyhle neofici\u00e1ln\u00ed summity se mi jev\u00ed jako docela potrhl\u00e9. A hlavn\u011b referov\u00e1n\u00ed o nich. V\u0161ichni se tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee pr\u00fd se tam jedn\u00e1 o vysl\u00e1n\u00ed jednotek evropsk\u00fdch \u010dlensk\u00fdch zem\u00ed NATO na Ukrajinu br\u00e1nit ji p\u0159ed Ruskem. O tom ale nikdy ani na minutu nebyla \u0159e\u010d. Ani jedna z t\u011bch zem\u00ed nechce vstoupit do otev\u0159en\u00e9 v\u00e1lky s Ruskem na ukrajinsk\u00e9m boji\u0161ti. Sna\u017eiv\u00ed novin\u00e1\u0159i n\u00e1m v ka\u017ed\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku o rusko-ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce potis\u00edc\u00ed opakuj\u00ed stejn\u00e9 v\u011bty, kter\u00e9 n\u00e1s maj\u00ed i v z\u00e1plav\u011b nov\u00fdch informac\u00ed udr\u017eovat v t\u011bch spr\u00e1vn\u00fdch \u201enarativech\u201c. Tady ale zapom\u00ednaj\u00ed st\u00e1le opakovat: vysl\u00e1n\u00ed takov\u00fdch jednotek absolutn\u011b nen\u00ed na po\u0159adu dne za sou\u010dasn\u00e9 bojov\u00e9 situace. P\u0159ich\u00e1zelo by v \u00favahu pouze tehdy, kdy by se na n\u011bm nejd\u0159\u00edv dohodli \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edci m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody. Tedy i Rusko. Tak\u017ee by se m\u011blo po\u0159\u00e1d dokola opakovat: pokud by Rusov\u00e9 (pochopiteln\u011b i Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 a Ukrajinci) jako sou\u010d\u00e1st m\u00edrov\u00e9ho uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed schv\u00e1lili \u00fa\u010dast jednotek evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed NATO, pak bychom mohli teprve v\u00e1\u017en\u011b uva\u017eovat o tom, kdo tam jak\u00e9 jednotky po\u0161le. A tak\u00e9 by m\u011bli horlivci dodat, \u017ee funkce takov\u00fdch jednotek by nebyla \u201ebr\u00e1nit Ukrajinu a odstra\u0161ovat p\u0159ed \u00fatokem na ni\u201c, ale br\u00e1nit dohodnut\u00e9 uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed naru\u0161en\u00edm z jak\u00e9koli strany. Museli by tedy b\u00fdt p\u0159ipraveni br\u00e1nit i Rusko p\u0159ed p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fdmi \u00fatoky t\u011bch Ukrajinc\u016f, kter\u00fdm by se dohoda nel\u00edbila.<\/p>\n
Vysv\u011btluj\u00ed n\u00e1m to politici EU a hlavn\u00ed m\u00e9dia takto? V\u016fbec ne. P\u011bstuj\u00ed n\u00e1m v hlav\u00e1ch bludy. A dod\u00e1v\u00e1m, \u017ee ok\u00e1zal\u00e9 \u0159e\u010di o jak\u00fdchsi jednotk\u00e1ch, jejich\u017e \u00fa\u010dast dosud nikdo neschv\u00e1lil, jsou bl\u00e1hov\u00e9 i proto, \u017ee daleko sp\u00ed\u0161e budou pozv\u00e1ny jednotky zem\u00ed, jako je Indie, Braz\u00edlie, Nov\u00fd Z\u00e9land, Nep\u00e1l, Sr\u00ed Lanka nebo Nig\u00e9rie.<\/p>\n
Premi\u00e9r Petr Fiala nedostal pozv\u00e1nku na prvn\u00ed summit do Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ee, a to i p\u0159esto, \u017ee \u010cR je jedn\u00edm z l\u00eddr\u016f EU v podpo\u0159e Ukrajiny \u2013 p\u0159ijala nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed po\u010det ukrajinsk\u00fdch uprchl\u00edk\u016f v p\u0159epo\u010dtu na obyvatele, zalo\u017eila muni\u010dn\u00ed iniciativu. Co to podle V\u00e1s znamen\u00e1?<\/b><\/p>\n
J\u00e1 bych nebyl zase zbyte\u010dn\u011b \u0161kodolib\u00fd. Macron je chaot, d\u011bl\u00e1 spla\u0161en\u00e1 teatr\u00e1ln\u00ed gesta a nemus\u00ed si v\u017edy na v\u0161echny vzpomenout. P\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011b zase omylem nepozve n\u011bkoho jin\u00e9ho. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b bude Ukrajina pot\u0159ebovat pen\u00edze. A\u017e se budou vyb\u00edrat, jist\u011b budou ti nejochotn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u0159isp\u011bvatel\u00e9 pozv\u00e1ni.<\/p>\n
D\u011bkujeme za rozhovor!<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ladislav Jakl, \u0159editel Centra spole\u010densk\u00fdch studi\u00ed Institutu V\u00e1clava Klause, zhodnotil jedn\u00e1n\u00ed USA a Ruska v Rij\u00e1du. \u201eP\u0159i vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed jde o mnohem v\u00edc ne\u017e o Donbas. Jde o vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 vymezen\u00ed vliv\u016f a z\u00e1jm\u016f po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b,\u201d uvedl v rozhovoru pro ne\u010cT24.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14616","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-rozhovory"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14616","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14616"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14616\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14617,"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14616\/revisions\/14617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14616"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14616"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14616"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}