Ot\u00e1zku, zda v\u00fdsledek \u0159eck\u00fdch voleb zp\u016fsob\u00ed domov\u00fd efekt v\u00a0euroz\u00f3n\u011b nebo v\u00a0cel\u00e9 EU, lze ch\u00e1pat z\u00a0mnoha hledisek. Dv\u011b z\u00a0nich jsou ta hlavn\u00ed.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
M\u016f\u017eeme ot\u00e1zku pochopit ve smyslu, jestli i v\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00edch mohou pod vlivem \u0158ecka z\u00e1sadn\u011b pos\u00edlit protestn\u00ed a protibruselsk\u00e9, pop\u0159\u00edpad\u011b krajn\u011b levicov\u00e9 strany. Ano, to mohou. A n\u011bkde mohou i vyhr\u00e1t. Anal\u00fdza, do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry k\u00a0tomu dojde pod vlivem dosavadn\u00ed krize evropsk\u00e9 integrace (tedy zda to budou \u0159e\u010dt\u00ed sourozenci ze stejn\u00e9 bruselsk\u00e9 matky) nebo p\u0159\u00edmo pod vlivem \u00fasp\u011bchu Syrizy (tedy zda to budou \u0159eck\u00e9 d\u011bti), bude dost obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e1, oba vlivy nelze od sebe odseparovat.<\/p>\n
Ale \u0159eck\u00fd precedens fungovat m\u016f\u017ee, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b kdy\u017e budou \u0159e\u010dt\u00ed vyjednava\u010di v\u00a0prvn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00ed. Praktick\u00fd dopad na evropskou politiku bude ale daleko men\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e se leckdo t\u011b\u0161\u00ed nebo boj\u00ed. A\u017e tyto protestn\u00ed strany p\u0159evezmou zodpov\u011bdnost a a\u017e se stanou ter\u010dem tlaku a upl\u00e1cen\u00ed od euroelit, zjist\u00edme, \u017ee se p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed r\u00e9torika nakonec nebude j\u00edst tak hork\u00e1, jakou ji dnes sly\u0161\u00edme.<\/p>\n
Ot\u00e1zku m\u016f\u017eeme pochopit ale i tak, zda v\u00fdsledek \u0159eck\u00fdch voleb m\u016f\u017ee dominov\u00fdm efektem sk\u00e1cet euro, v\u00e9st k\u00a0\u00fat\u011bku n\u011bkolika zem\u00ed z euroz\u00f3ny a nakonec k\u00a0p\u00e1du cel\u00e9ho projektu nebo k\u00a0jeho zredukov\u00e1n\u00ed na tvrd\u00e9 j\u00e1dro vz\u00e1jemn\u011b kompatibiln\u00edch \u0161esti, sedmi ekonomik. Zde soud\u00edm, \u017ee k\u00a0tomuto dominov\u00e9mu efektu nedojde. Na jeho po\u010d\u00e1tku by musel b\u00fdt dnes \u010dasto zmi\u0148ovan\u00fd grexit. A ten se nestane.<\/p>\n
Pro\u010d si to mysl\u00edm? Euro je politick\u00fdm projektem. Byl od po\u010d\u00e1tku n\u00e1strojem k\u00a0protla\u010den\u00ed politick\u00e9 unie, tedy vy\u0161\u0161\u00edho stupn\u011b unifikace a centralizace EU.\u00a0 Jeho architekti a podporovatel\u00e9 ho proto nikdy nebudou hodnotit jen, a dokonce ani p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm podle ekonomick\u00fdch krit\u00e9ri\u00ed. Zd\u00e1 se v\u00e1m euro jako ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd projet? Pak jej myln\u011b ch\u00e1pete jako projekt ekonomick\u00fd. Ve skute\u010dnosti je projektem \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdm, proto\u017ee slou\u017e\u00ed tomu, \u010demu slou\u017eit m\u011bl: centralizaci moci.<\/p>\n
V\u00a0tomto smyslu ho \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 krize neohro\u017euje, n\u00fdbr\u017e posiluje, proto\u017ee je z\u00e1minkou k\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edmu uta\u017een\u00ed \u0161roub\u016f. Ano, kancl\u00e9\u0159ka Merkelov\u00e1 a dal\u0161\u00ed vl\u00e1dci EU budou pro sv\u00e9 dom\u00e1c\u00ed publikum adresovat \u0158ecku r\u016fzn\u00e1 ultim\u00e1ta, ale nikdy je nespln\u00ed. Moc n\u011bco stoj\u00ed, a\u0165 u\u017e investujete do v\u00e1lek, nebo do upl\u00e1cen\u00ed kveruluj\u00edc\u00edch vazal\u016f. V\u00edt\u011bzov\u00e9 \u0159eck\u00fdch voleb v\u00a0mnoh\u00e9m ustoup\u00ed a tam, kde jim to tlak ve\u0159ejnosti nedovol\u00ed, zafunguje eurounijn\u00ed (hlavn\u011b n\u011bmeck\u00fd) m\u011b\u0161ec. Grexit nelze p\u0159ipustit, u\u017e proto, \u017ee by byl pro \u0158ecko \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd.<\/p>\n
Tak\u017ee si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee z\u00a0\u0159eck\u00e9ho mraku moc pr\u0161et nebude.\u00a0 Ale bu\u010fme r\u00e1di za tu novou vlnu debaty o euru a evropsk\u00e9 integraci, kterou \u0159eck\u00e9 volby p\u0159inesly.<\/p>\n
Ps\u00e1no pro Newsletter IVK<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Ot\u00e1zku, zda v\u00fdsledek \u0159eck\u00fdch voleb zp\u016fsob\u00ed domov\u00fd efekt v\u00a0euroz\u00f3n\u011b nebo v\u00a0cel\u00e9 EU, lze ch\u00e1pat z\u00a0mnoha hledisek. Dv\u011b z\u00a0nich jsou ta hlavn\u00ed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5466","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-publikovane-clanky"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5466","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5466"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5466\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5474,"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5466\/revisions\/5474"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5466"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5466"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ladislavjakl.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5466"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}